Why the Bitcoin price dip and what’s next?

March 18, 2024
Nigel Green

IT was a whirlwind week for cryptocurrency markets last week. Bitcoin has once again demonstrated its volatile nature, surging to an all-time high of $73,777 only to retrace significantly within a matter of days, settling near $64,500. 

While this drastic fluctuation might unsettle some investors, it’s crucial to understand the underlying factors at play.

Profit-taking

One of the primary reasons behind Bitcoin’s recent rollercoaster ride is profit-taking, a common phenomenon in the crypto space. Large investors, often referred to as ‘whales,’ capitalized on Bitcoin’s soaring prices to cash in some of their profits, leading to a swift downward correction. Such profit-taking activities are inherent to almost all financial markets and are often followed by periods of consolidation and renewed bullish sentiment.

Despite the current lower prices, there are several compelling reasons to believe that Bitcoin’s dip is temporary rather than indicative of a prolonged bearish trend.

Spot ETFs and institutional support

The ongoing development of Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continues to attract institutional investors into the cryptocurrency space. These ETFs provide traditional investors with regulated exposure to Bitcoin, fostering greater institutional adoption and injecting significant capital into the market.

April’s halving event

Bitcoin’s protocol includes a built-in mechanism known as the halving, which occurs approximately every four years. During this event, the rate at which new Bitcoin is created is halved, reducing the available supply. 

Historically, Bitcoin halving events have been catalysts for bullish momentum, driving up prices as demand outstrips the reduced supply.

Prospects of lower global interest rates

Although slow – and not over yet - the battle against inflation is being won, meaning there are growing prospects of lower global interest rates. In such a cheaper money environment, Bitcoin, with its decentralized and finite supply, is increasingly viewed as a hedge against inflation and currency devaluation, attracting investors seeking alternative stores of value.

Geopolitical instability

Geopolitical tensions and instability across various regions, including with the US and China, the world’s two largest economies, have historically served as catalysts for Bitcoin’s price appreciation. As geopolitical risks escalate, investors often turn to Bitcoin as a safe haven asset immune to political influence and manipulation.

While Bitcoin’s recent price volatility may raise concerns among some investors, it’s important to contextualise these fluctuations within the broader landscape of cryptocurrency markets. 

Profit-taking, particularly from whales, has contributed to the recent dip, but the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin remain robust.